It seems like things couldn’t be going better for the Democrats. They have control of Congress back for the first time since 1993. The Republican President’s popularity is at all-time lows, and his primary legacy, the Iraq War, remains hugely unpopular. And yet, when comes to picking a President for 2008, the American people seem to be leaning Republican:
In our poll, Hillary Clinton loses to John McCain, 42-48%, and to Rudy Giuliani 41-50%. Even though Clinton maintains a 7% edge over Obama among Democratic respondents, Obama fares better in the general election match-ups. It’s so close that it’s a statistical dead-heat, but Obama still loses: 43-45% to McCain, 44-45% to Giuliani.
There are several reasons for this, but I think they all boil down to the basic fact that while a large segment of the American public is upset with the GOP and the Bush Administration, they are far from being sold on the Democratic Party in general, and one Democrat in particular — Hillary Clinton.