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Well We Can Write Off Those 55 Electoral Votes

by @ 4:57 pm on August 17, 2007.

It seems that the Democrats are poised to take California again in the 2008 election:

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton is expanding her lead in California as excitement for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is fading among Golden State voters, a new Field Poll revealed Thursday.

The New York senator held a commanding lead over the Democratic field, with 49 percent support to 19 percent for Obama and 10 percent for former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards.

The survey of 418 Californians likely to vote in the Feb. 5 Democratic presidential primary showed Clinton leading — and gaining support — in every demographic category and California region measured.

(….)

In a poll of likely Nov. 4, 2008, general election voters of all parties, Clinton also fared well against the top GOP contenders. In hypothetical matchups, she led former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani by 52 percent to 37 percent among California voters, held a 55 percent to 35 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and led by the same margin over undeclared candidate and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson.

Obama led by 48 percent to 38 percent over Giuliani, 53 percent to 31 percent over Romney and 52 percent to 32 over Thompson. Edwards led Giuliani 47 percent to 42 percent, Romney by 52 percent to 33 percent and Thompson by 55 percent to 30 percent.

There was a time when California was a solidly Republican state, and part of what George Will once referred to as the GOP’s “Electoral College lock,” but those days are long gone.  By the time the 2008 elections roll around, it will have been 20 years since California’s electoral votes, which compromise 20% of the total needed to win the Electoral College, went to a Republican.

Given these numbers, that’s unlikely to happen anytime soon.

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One Response to “Well We Can Write Off Those 55 Electoral Votes”

  1. Flap Says:

    But there is hope with the Electoral Reform California Initiative.

    http://flapsblog.com/?p=5429

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