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The Compact Disc Turns Twenty-Five: How Much Longer Does It Have

by @ 12:05 pm on August 19, 2007.

It was twenty-five years ago, on August 17, 1982, that the first Compact Discs started rolling off the assembly line:

EINDHOVEN, Netherlands (AP) — It was Aug. 17, 1982, and row upon row of palm-sized plates with a rainbow sheen began rolling off an assembly line near Hanover, Germany. An engineering marvel at the time, today they are instantly recognizable as Compact Discs, a product that turns 25 years old on Friday - and whose future is increasingly in doubt in an age of iPods and digital downloads.

Those first CDs contained Richard Strauss’ Alpine Symphony and would sound equally sharp if played today, says Holland’s Royal Philips Electronics NV, which jointly developed the CD with Sony Corp. of Japan.

The recording industry thrived in the 1990s as music fans replaced their aging cassettes and vinyl LPs with compact discs, eventually making CDs the most popular album format.

Times have changed, though, and, just as vinyl found itself being edged out by CD’s, the Compact Disc is having to deal with a whole new set of rival media formats:

the CD may be seeing the end of its days.

CD sales have fallen sharply to 553 million sold in the United States last year, a 22 percent drop from its 2001 peak of 712 million, according to Nielsen SoundScan.

Napster and later Kazaa and BitTorrent allowed music fans to easily share songs over the Internet, often illegally. More recently, Apple Inc. and other companies began selling legal music downloads, turning the MP3 and other digital audio formats into the medium of choice for many owners of Apple’s iPods and other digital players.

“The MP3 and all the little things that the boys and girls have in their pockets … can replace it, absolutely,” said Kramer, the retired engineer.

CDs won’t disappear overnight, but its years may be numbered.

I don’t think there’s any “may” about it.

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