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Tale Of The Tape: The 2008 Presidential Race In Virginia

by @ 7:09 am on October 31, 2007. Filed under 2008 Election, Politics, Virginia, Virginia Politics

In addition to releasing a new poll on the 2008 Virginia Senate race, Rasmussen has also released a poll on the state of the Presidential race in Virginia, and it’s a lot closer than you might think:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Virginia voters finds Rudy Giuliani with a three-percentage point lead over Hillary Clinton in the race for the state’s Electoral Votes. John McCain and Fred Thompson each have a single point advantage over Clinton while Mike Huckabee trails the former First Lady by nine.

Clinton’s support ranges from 43% to 48% when matched against the various Republican hopefuls. Nationally, against all of the top five Republicans, Clinton’s support remains in the 46% to 49% range.

In Virginia, Clinton leads all Republicans among women but trails all among men.

No Democratic Presidential candidate has won the state of Virginia since 1964, so Clinton’s competitiveness is bullish for her party. However, she has lost a bit of ground against each Republican candidate compared to last month’s survey. In September, Clinton had a 3-point lead over Giuliani in the state that produced four of our nation’s first five Presidents.

By comparison, in 2004, Bush beat Kerry by about 8% in Virginia, and in 2000 he beat Gore by 7%. And Virginia has been trending Democratic ever since then — witness Governor Kaine, and Senator Webb. If that trend continues in next week’s elections, it could be a sign that, even with Hillary at the top of the ticket, Virginia is very much in play in 2008, which would make things around here very exciting.

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