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Hillary In Trouble In Iowa ?

by @ 11:13 am on November 15, 2007.

That appears to be the case based on the latest Rasmussen Poll:

Senator Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa has fallen seven points over the past few weeks. This is consistent with the six-point slide measured in New Hampshire.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of the Iowa Democratic Caucus for 2008 finds Clinton on top with support from 29% of Likely Caucus Participants. That’s down from 33% in mid-October.

Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards is supported by 25% and Illinois Senator Barack Obama attracts 21% of the Likely Caucus participants. For both men, those figures reflect a three-percentage point gain. New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson also gained three points and is now at 10% in the poll (see crosstabs).

Edwards now attracts 26% support from men while Clinton and Obama each earn the support from 24%. In the previous survey, Clinton had a four-point advantage over Edwards among male voters. Among women, Clinton is still on top, but her share of the women’s vote has declined from 39% in mid-October until now

How this will pan out on Caucus Day remains to be seen, of course, but if Hillary turns out to be not quite as inevitable as first believed.

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