The latest national tracking poll from Rasmussen shows Barack Obama closing in on Hillary:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Barack Obama inching closer to Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. It’s now Clinton 43%, Obama 37%. (see recent daily numbers). A week ago, Clinton had an eleven point advantage, 41% to 30%.
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The last two nights of tracking were the first without John Edwards in the race. For those two nights, it’s Clinton 44% and Obama 42% meaning that Clinton’s support is essentially unchanged. This suggests that many former Edwards supporters now support Obama, many others have yet to make a decision, and few currently support Clinton.
So what does this mean for Super Tuesday ? Well, it’s not clear, but it looks like the Democratic race will still be a contest on Wednesday the 6th:
New polling data shows Clinton leading in New Jersey. Later today, state polling will be released for Tennessee and other states. Looking ahead to Super Tuesday, Clinton leads in California and Massachusetts (see summary of Super Tuesday polls). Because the Democrats award delegates on a proportional representation basis, it may be very difficult for either candidate to earn a decisive victory next Tuesday.
In other words, we have no idea how Tuesday will turn out, but Barack Obama is making it a real race.
