There are two polls out on the Texas Democratic Primary, and they’re telling a different story.
First, Scott Rasmussen shows Hillary ahead of Obama by double digits:
When Election 2008 began, long before the first votes were cast, Senator Hillary Clinton led in the national polls but trailed Barack Obama in the key state of Iowa. Many remarked upon the difference between those national and state numbers. At Rasmussen Reports, we noted that if Clinton won Iowa, she could wrap up the nomination. On the other hand, if Obama won Iowa, he would have the chance to make his case but there would be no clear frontrunner.
Today, the situation is reversed. Obama leads nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and can wrap up the nomination with victories in the key states of Ohio and Texas. Clinton needs to win those states to keep her campaign alive. Yesterday, Rasmussen Reports released polling data showing Clinton with a double-digit lead in Ohio and the latest Rasmussen Reports polling in Texas also shows the former First Lady on top in the Lone Star State. Clinton attracts 54% of the vote in Texas while Obama earns 38% with nearly three weeks to go until Election Day.
But, then, there’s an American Research Bureau poll that shows Obama with 48% to Hillary’s 42%.
Rasmussen’s polls have generally been more accurate, but this is the first time that Texas has been polled in awhile so everyone’s sampling population may be a bit off.
