A new poll of the Ohio primaries shows Barack Obama closing in on Hillary:
In a Democratic Primary for President of the United States in Ohio today, 2/16/08, two weeks till the votes are counted, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama, 52% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHIO-TV Dayton. But her lead has narrowed. Just one week ago, Clinton held a 17 point lead at 56% to 39%.
In our latest poll, Clinton leads by 35 points among seniors, by 30 points in greater Columbus, by 28 points among women, by 21 points among whites, by 21 points among voters focused on the Economy, and by 17 points among registered Democrats. Obama leads by by 48 points among blacks, by 20 points among the youngest voters, and by 16 points among men. The two are tied in greater Cleveland, tied among Moderates, tied among voters focused on Health Care. Among voters younger than Obama, Obama leads by 5. Among voters older than John McCain, Clinton leads by 45. Among voters in between, Clinton leads by 15.
Interactive Tracking Graphs Show Obama Closing: SurveyUSA’s interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive, show Obama gaining significant ground among men. One week ago, Clinton and Obama were tied among men. Today, Obama is up 16 points. One week ago, Clinton led by 9 among voters under age 50. Today, Obama is up by 2 points. To access SurveyUSA’s interactive tracking graphs, click on the Triangle-T when looking at the crosstabs.
An eleven point lead two weeks out is not insurmountable. If Obama wins Ohio and closes Texas enough to be competitive on the delegate count, this race is as good as over.
Meanwhile, on the Republican side, Mike Huckbee isn’t finding much Buckeye love:
Two weeks to the Ohio Republican Primary, John McCain is 2:1 atop Mike Huckabee, according to SurveyUSA’s latest tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WHIO-TV. In a SurveyUSA poll released one week ago, McCain led by 14.
The only question now is when Tax Hike Mike is going to admit the inevitable.
Today he leads by 32. All of Huckabee’s core support is eroding, as the Republican party coalesces around McCain. Among Conservatives, Huckabee had led by 3, now trails by 27, a 30-point swing. Among voters who attend religious services regularly, McCain had been up by 1, now is up by 24, a 23-point swing in his direction. Among Pro-Life voters, Huckabee had been tied, now trails McCain by 20.
It’s time for Tax Hike Mike to admit the inevitable.
