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Hillary Clinton Death Watch, Saturday Update

by @ 8:05 am on February 23, 2008. Filed under 2008 Election, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Politics

In today’s Washington Al Kamen notes just how improbable a Hillary Clinton victory is at this point:

Let’s face it. It’s over. Teamsters President James P. Hoffa may have provided the last bit of muscle Wednesday with his union’s endorsement of Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.). Barring a serious meltdown in the debates — or a sensational revelation — Obama will be the Democratic presidential nominee this fall.

The punditry agrees that a victory for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) is at best improbable at this point. Ever-helpful Bill Clinton says that if Hillary doesn’t win Texas and Ohio, she’s toast. Our most recent poll shows a virtual tie in Texas and Clinton with a seven-point lead in Ohio.

Problem is, looking at the numbers, Clinton has to win both of them big. Obama has a lead of 150 elected or “pledged” delegates, according to NBC’s calculation (The Washington Post uses a different formula to count). Clinton needs to win 58 percent of all remaining pledged delegates simply to get her lead back, NBC political director Chuck Todd notes. But that’s hypothetical. The reality is worse.

If Obama wins the remaining states he’s favored in, such as Vermont, Mississippi, North Carolina and Oregon, then Clinton will need to win 65 percent of the vote in places such as Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania, Todd said.

Most observers are beginning to focus on the numbers of elected, or pledged, delegates because they’ve concluded that those are almost sure to be the only ones who will matter — unless Clinton can persuade the superdelegates at the nominating convention to overrule the voters and destroy the Democratic Party once and for all.

Before that happens, I’ve got to believe that someone, somewhere will tune the Clinton’s in to the reality that they’re facing.

Meanwhile, things aren’t looking so good for Hillary on the superdelegate front. Yesterday, Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold announced that he was supporting Barack Obama and that just seems to be part of a larger trend of superdelegates moving to back Obama:

The Democratic superdelegates are starting to follow the voters — straight to Barack Obama.

In just the past two weeks, more than two dozen of them have climbed aboard his presidential campaign, according to a survey by The Associated Press. At the same time, Hillary Rodham Clinton’s are beginning to jump ship, abandoning her for Obama or deciding they now are undecided.

The result: He’s narrowing her once-commanding lead among these “superdelegates,” the Democratic office holders and party officials who automatically attend the national convention and can vote for whomever they choose.

(…)

Clinton still leads among superdelegates — 241 to 181, according to the AP survey. But her total is down two in the past two weeks, while Obama’s is up 25. Since the primaries started, at least three Clinton superdelegates have switched to Obama, including Rep. David Scott of Georgia, who changed his endorsement after Obama won 80 percent of the primary vote in Scott’s district. At least two other Clinton backers have switched to undecided.

None of Obama’s have publicly strayed, according to the AP tally.

And they’re not likely to.

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Hillary Clinton Death Watch, Afternoon Update

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12 Responses to “Hillary Clinton Death Watch, Saturday Update”

  1. Sue Martin says:

    On a lighter note, there’s a wonderful new Obama meme at http://obamawill.com Very funny!

  2. Freddy Max says:

    What I don’t understand is why are people not noticing the past performance or experience that Clinton continues to press. Insider trading (10,000% profit on cattle futures), Whitewater (real estate), Travelgate while 1st Lady, flip flops of convenience on positions from Iraq, NAFTA, you name it, in order to win elections but behavior completely different once she gets there.

    Frankly I am tied of 20 yrs of Bush or Clinton family leadership of the Administration.

    What we need to do is elect Obama, but more inportantly replace incumbent republicans also coming up for re-election in the Senate and Congress so that he will have the necessary majority to overcome gridlock in both houses.

  3. Patricia says:

    BILL, HILLARY, JOHN McCAIN AND BUSH and their WAR have ruined our Country.

    As Bill Clinton’s Vote for NAFTA has ruined our Economy.Hillary’s “Experience” is Bill’s Legacy …NAFTA, Welfare Reform, (GATT94)WTO, Telecommunications Act of 1996, Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act

    ..These were the achievements of the Clinton Presidency … She can’t say she has “Experience” and say she didn’t support any of the efforts that defined Bill’s Presidency …

    If she supported them, it shows poor judgment on her part …

    if she was against them, it shows that she didn’t have influence with her husband regarding her disagreements with these issues …

    So what is it? Poor Judgment or inability to influence people and her President Husband to accept her so-called position against NAFTA?

    Either way, those traits do not benefit the United States if they are displayed by the President

    NAFTA signed into law by President Bill Clinton. [12/08/93]. They were Co-Presidents then, of course she supported it.

    The Clintons are trying to revise History because Bill Clinton signing that NAFTA Bill has caused America’s economy to be in the horrible condition it is in.

    Of Course Hillary now has to distance herself from the truth as always. Her Vote for the Iraq War was WRONG on DAY 1

    Her Solutions CAN NOT fix the MESS
    SHE and HER HUSBAND as well as George W Bush have created.

    We have SPENT BILLIONS AND BILLIONS on her WAR Vote, we have lost our young women and men in this War as well as hundreds of thousands of Iraqi lives.

    Our Infrastructure is crumbling and we borrow from China, but yet Hillary says her VOTE FOR WAR has nothing to DO with our poor economy.

    Hillary and McCain are one in the same, of course they are BEST FRIENDS BFF.Hillary like Bush, cannot admit when WRONG!!!

    But she does not have the SOLUTION to the MESS she and her President Husband have created.

    What is so amazing they think they can fool the American People and she thinks her ANGRY Tactic can Fool Americans.

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