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The Battle For The Superdelegates

by @ 5:17 pm on March 14, 2008.

It looks like Barack Obama is winning here too:

March 14 (Bloomberg) — Barack Obama has pulled almost even with Hillary Clinton in endorsements from top elected officials and has cut into her lead among the other superdelegates she’s relying on to win the Democratic presidential nomination.

Among the 313 of 796 superdelegates who are members of Congress or governors, Clinton has commitments from 103 and Obama is backed by 96, according to lists supplied by the campaigns. Fifty-three of Obama’s endorsements have come since he won the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses, compared with 12 who have aligned with Clinton since then.

“That’s not glacial, that is a remarkable momentum,” Senator Claire McCaskill of Missouri, a superdelegate and Obama supporter, said in an interview. “I don’t think there is anything that will slow that down.”

(…)

In the overall race for superdelegates — elected and party officials who automatically receive votes at the Democratic National Convention that will choose the nominee — Clinton leads Obama in commitments by 249 to 212, according to an Associated Press tally.

The trend, though, is running against the New York senator. Since March 5, the day after she won primaries in Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island and Obama took Vermont, the Illinois senator has won backing from nine superdelegates and Clinton one, according to the campaigns and interviews.

Which is why the delegate count now looks like this:

Pledged Delegates

  1. Barack Obama — 1,406 delegates
  2. Hillary Clinton — 1,246 delegates

Obama + 160

Total Delegates

  1. Barack Obama — 1,608 delegates (416 needed to win)
  2. Hillary Clinton — 1,494 delegates (530 needed to win)

Obama +124

Not including Florida and Michigan, there are 566 pledged delegates left to be awarded and 335 super delegates who have yet to name their preference. Given the closeness of the race, it’s likely that Clinton and Obama will, by the end of the process, split the remaining pledged delegates relatively evenly, which would still leave them both short of what they need to win. If the superdelegates continue breaking for Obama, though, that will be enough to put him over the top.

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One Response to “The Battle For The Superdelegates”

  1. Below The Beltway » Blog Archive » Pennsylvania Post-Mortem: Where Do We Go From Here ? Says:

    [...] I last looked at the delegate math it looked like this: Pledged [...]

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