Two more polls from Pennsylvania with two weeks to go.
First, Rasmussen again has Obama within five percentage points of Hillary Clinton:
Following a month of declining poll numbers for Senator Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania, the race has stabilized for the moment.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Clinton leading Barack Obama by five percentage points in the Keystone State, 48% to 43%. That’s little changed from a week ago, but down from a ten-point lead two weeks ago, a thirteen-point lead in mid-March and a fifteen-point advantage in early March.
This is consistent with the other recent polls that I discussed earlier today.
However, there’s an outlier from SurveyUSA:
In a Democratic Primary in Pennsylvania today, 04/08/08, two weeks to the vote, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama 56% to 38%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCAU-TV Philadelphia, KDKA-TV Pittsburgh, WHP-TV Harrisburg, and WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre. The results are almost identical to a SurveyUSA poll released one month ago. Then, Clinton led by 19. Today, 18. In between, however, in a SurveyUSA tracking poll released last week, Obama had closed to within 12 points.
It’s tempting dismiss this one out of hand, but, given how polling has gone in this election, it’s real hard to say. At the moment, though, all the polls except Survey USA and the RealClearPolitics average for Pennsylvania show the race tightening, so I’m going to say we should put this SUSA poll to the side for the moment until there’s some corroboration.
H/T: Donklephant
[...] As a result, Obama started to close the gap against Hillary, to the point where her lead was statistically insignificant. [...]