Now that I’ve reviewed the final polls and the extraordinary history of the 2008 Pennsylvania Primary, I guess it’s time to make a prediction.
So, here it is:
Hillary Clinton will win the primary by at least 7 percentage points, perhaps as high as 12-13 points. However, her net delegate haul will make what seems like a substantial victory seem much closer because she will gain no more than 7-10 net delegates and will continue to trail Obama in both pledged delegates and total delegates.
Which means, it’s on to North Carolina and Indiana in two weeks.
April 22nd, 2008 at 7:31 am
[...] my guess, we’re likely to end up with something that’s a combination of scenarios two and three, but the political junkie in me would love to see scenario four play out. [...]
April 23rd, 2008 at 8:08 am
[...] of all, a little gloating given that the prediction I made on Monday turned out to be largely [...]