If the polls are any indication, any hope that the Democratic race might end tomorrow needs to be abandoned:
Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama in the symbolically important popular vote, and possibly by enough to pick up more than a trivial number of net Convention delegates, according to SurveyUSA’s final pre-primary tracking poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. In 4 tracking polls over the past 5 weeks, Clinton has never polled lower than 52%, Obama has never polled higher than 43%. At the wire, they finish: Clinton 54%, Obama 42%. Among males, the two have been tied in 3 of the 4 tracking polls. Among females, Clinton has always led by at least 14, and finishes ahead by 22. Among Republicans and Independents, the two are effectively tied. Among Democrats, Clinton finishes ahead by 19. Clinton leads among Conservatives, Moderates and Liberals. She leads among Pro Life and Pro Choice voters, among regular and not-so-regular church goers. In Northern Indiana, she leads by 11. In Central and Southern Indiana, she leads by 27. In greater Indianapolis, Obama leads. Among voters under 35, Obama leads. Among voters over 35, Clinton leads.
A big win in Indiana would add more evidence, such as it is, to the Clinton campaign’s argument that she can attract the white, male, middle class votes that Barack Obama has been unable to attract.
May 5th, 2008 at 5:39 pm
I see nothing in the above paragraph that would indicate that Clinton is doing better amongst “white”, “male”, or “middle class” voters in Indiana. There’s no statistics mentioned regarding race, or economic status. With regards to the male vote, Clinton and Obama are tied in 3 out of 4 polls.
May 5th, 2008 at 10:18 pm
[...] Survey USA has Clinton’s lead in double-digits (Below the Beltway), which I think is a precursor to what we’ve seen in Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania - late [...]
May 6th, 2008 at 8:04 pm
Every “white” “middle class” person I know hates hillary’s guts.