Hilllary Clinton may do well in West Virginia and Kentucky, but her prospects in Oregon don’t look good at all:
A bit more than a week away from Oregon’s May 20 primary, Barack Obama has amassed a nearly insurmountable lead in the Democratic presidential race, according to statewide polling conducted by Portland’s Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. for the Portland Tribune and FOX 12 News.
The U.S. senator from Illinois leads Hillary Clinton by a commanding 55 percent to 35 percent margin among likely Democratic voters, and even leads among women voters who ordinarily tilt toward Clinton, said Tim Hibbitts of Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall. The poll was conducted May 8-10, during and after visits to Oregon by Obama and Clinton.
“Barring a disaster, Barack Obama’s going to win Oregon, and he may win it very big,” said Hibbitts, one of Oregon’s most respected nonpartisan pollsters. “This is the widest lead that I’ve seen of any poll for Obama in Oregon,” he said. “I’d be shocked if Obama didn’t win here.”
A win which should pretty much blunt any phony momentum Clinton gets out of West Virginia and Kentucky.
[...] it looks like Hillary will win Kentucky by a wide margin. However, Obama is also likely to have a big win in Oregon next Tuesday. This means that whatever gains Hillary makes in Kentucky are likely to be wiped out by [...]