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Kentucky And Oregon Primary Predictions

by @ 8:49 am on May 20, 2008.

Only a few more of these left, unless Hillary decides that the United States Of Altantis should have a say.

So, here we go.

Kentucky

Hillary Clinton will win here by as impressive a margin as she garnered last week in West Virginia and, once again, we will here her talk about how she can attract white, working class voters better than Barack Obama can. It will also, temporarily at least, give her more ammunition for her popular vote argument.

In terms of delegates, though, her net win out of Kentucky will be under ten delegates. Not good enough.

Oregon

Obama will win Oregon, potentially by a double digit margin depending on what poll you believe.

Depending on the size of the victory, it could make whatever happens in Kentucky entirely meaningless but, in reality, any victory will be good enough.

I also think we will see another round of superdelegate endorsements for Obama on Wednesday to blunt any momentum Clinton might have coming out of Kentucky.

After tonight, the primary focus shifts to Puerto Rico on June 1st. Hopefully, between now and then someone will explain to me why people who can’t vote for President are helping to pick the Democratic Party’s nominee.

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