The latest Rasmussen poll continues to suggest that, when 2009 rolls around, Virgina will continue to be represented by a Senator named Warner:
Democrat Mark Warner has widened his lead against Republican Jim Gilmore in the race for Virginia’s senate seat. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Warner earning 60% of the vote while Gilmore attracts 33%.
Last month, Warner enjoyed an eighteen-point lead. This represents the sixth consecutive survey to find Warner leading by double-digits, as well as his strongest lead to date. Before falling back in this survey, Gilmore had consistently polled between 37% and 39% percent. Rasmussen Markets data gives Warner an 89.9 % chance of winning this race in November (results updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants).
Warner’s favorability ratings have also improved. The Democrat is viewed favorably by 70% of Virginia voters and unfavorably by 24%. Gilmore’s numbers are 46% favorable, 42% unfavorable.
At this point, I’m beginning to think that any money the National Republican Senatorial Committee sinks into this race will be like throwing money down a rat hole.
June 16th, 2008 at 8:44 pm
George Allen was over 30 points down in June 1993.
June 16th, 2008 at 8:50 pm
James,
The difference is that George Allen was running as a Republican in a year when Republicans were screwed.
Mark Warner doesn’t have that problem.
I’m voting for Gilmore, but at this point I’m putting Virginia in as a Democratic gain in November.
June 16th, 2008 at 10:52 pm
Gee, ya think we should have, I don’t know…tried someone else?
This is exactly why I said the RPV shot itself in the foot when it nominated Gilmore.
June 17th, 2008 at 8:15 am
[...] I noted yesterday, Mark Warner has expanded on his lead over Jim Gilmore in the weeks since the race officially began, and there are few signs that things are going to [...]
June 17th, 2008 at 8:17 am
Chris,
What makes you think that things would be that much different with a different nominee ?
I don’t think this is reflection on Gilmore so much as it is a reflection of Warner’s continued popularity and the fact that the GOP has pretty much destroyed it’s reputation nationwide over the past 7 years.
June 19th, 2008 at 1:01 pm
[...] There is no denying the poll numbers, all of which show Warner with a seemingly insurmountable lead in a year when Republicans in general are already in [...]
July 18th, 2008 at 2:16 pm
[...] These results are fairly identical to what we saw last October, and in January, February, May, and June. [...]
August 14th, 2008 at 1:48 pm
[...] Jim Gilmore Have A Snowball’s Chance In Hell ? Virginia Senate: Warner 60% Gilmore 33% Bad News For Virginia Republicans Times Three Rasmussen: Warner Leads Gilmore By 20 Points [...]