Comments on: My Election Projection — July Edition http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/ I believe in the free speech that liberals used to believe in, the economic freedom that conservatives used to believe in, and the personal freedom that America used to believe in. Fri, 12 Mar 2010 20:20:22 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: Doug Mataconis http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230607 Doug Mataconis Fri, 18 Jul 2008 18:22:11 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230607 Kevin, Right now, Florida seems fairly solid for McCain, although that may change: http://tinyurl.com/62a4ee New Hampshire, interestingly enough, seems to be tilting toward Obama: http://tinyurl.com/6mdxct But I agree with you about the Senate. No Republican pickups and at least one Democratic pickup in Virginia with the possibility of a few more along the way depending on how the races go. Kevin,

Right now, Florida seems fairly solid for McCain, although that may change:

http://tinyurl.com/62a4ee

New Hampshire, interestingly enough, seems to be tilting toward Obama:

http://tinyurl.com/6mdxct

But I agree with you about the Senate. No Republican pickups and at least one Democratic pickup in Virginia with the possibility of a few more along the way depending on how the races go.

]]> By: Kevin http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230596 Kevin Fri, 18 Jul 2008 17:38:43 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230596 Doug, I think that Florida will be closer than it was in 2004. It's looking like Obama probably won't have his Jewish problem the pundits said he was going to have. I base this on the fact that Obama's been leading the latest polls out of there. I think we can comfortably call Colorado for Obama. Indiana will be won by McCain as will New Hampshire. Also, watch for Connecticut to be put into play by McCain. Also, Republicans will fail to defeat a single sitting Democratic senator as the Republican candidate in Louisiana, John Kennedy, has turned into a disappointment. Doug,

I think that Florida will be closer than it was in 2004. It’s looking like Obama probably won’t have his Jewish problem the pundits said he was going to have. I base this on the fact that Obama’s been leading the latest polls out of there.

I think we can comfortably call Colorado for Obama. Indiana will be won by McCain as will New Hampshire. Also, watch for Connecticut to be put into play by McCain.

Also, Republicans will fail to defeat a single sitting Democratic senator as the Republican candidate in Louisiana, John Kennedy, has turned into a disappointment.

]]> By: Doug Mataconis http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230410 Doug Mataconis Thu, 17 Jul 2008 20:39:46 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230410 James, RealClearPolitics has an Electoral Projection map that includes results going all the way back to 1968: http://tinyurl.com/4kuk2x James,

RealClearPolitics has an Electoral Projection map that includes results going all the way back to 1968:

http://tinyurl.com/4kuk2x

]]> By: Fun with maps « The right-wing liberal http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230394 Fun with maps « The right-wing liberal Thu, 17 Jul 2008 16:36:37 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230394 [...] with maps Blame Doug Mataconis for pointing me to the Predict November site.  Armed only with instinct and the latest Rasmussen [...] [...] with maps Blame Doug Mataconis for pointing me to the Predict November site.  Armed only with instinct and the latest Rasmussen [...]

]]> By: Doug Mataconis http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230391 Doug Mataconis Thu, 17 Jul 2008 15:56:25 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230391 Silence, Obama has been leading in all of the most recent Virginia polls: http://tinyurl.com/6o9nkx My prediction is that, helped in part by a strong showing by Mark Warner, Obama will win Virginia. Silence,

Obama has been leading in all of the most recent Virginia polls:

http://tinyurl.com/6o9nkx

My prediction is that, helped in part by a strong showing by Mark Warner, Obama will win Virginia.

]]> By: Doug Mataconis http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230390 Doug Mataconis Thu, 17 Jul 2008 15:42:58 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230390 DJ, The key is either Ohio or Pa. Given every gray state to McCain, and he still loses. And the fact that Obama is polling ahead of him in states like Montana and North Dakota is not a good sign. DJ,

The key is either Ohio or Pa. Given every gray state to McCain, and he still loses.

And the fact that Obama is polling ahead of him in states like Montana and North Dakota is not a good sign.

]]> By: Doug Mataconis http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230389 Doug Mataconis Thu, 17 Jul 2008 15:41:42 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230389 James, Here's why I think Obama will win Ohio: http://tinyurl.com/65gb48 He's leading, albeit slimly, in all the polls in an election year in which Republicans in general stand to get royally screwed. Add to that the fact that I have family in Ohio and while it may have been Bush Country in `04, it's changed alot in 4 years. James,

Here’s why I think Obama will win Ohio:

http://tinyurl.com/65gb48

He’s leading, albeit slimly, in all the polls in an election year in which Republicans in general stand to get royally screwed.

Add to that the fact that I have family in Ohio and while it may have been Bush Country in `04, it’s changed alot in 4 years.

]]> By: Silence Dogood http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230388 Silence Dogood Thu, 17 Jul 2008 15:41:06 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230388 I get worked up everytime I look at a map like that. I am worried if VA will go blue also? I see Obama people at the metro in Arlington on a daily basis! I have been blogging against Obama http://road2serfdom.blogspot.com/. keep up the good work. I get worked up everytime I look at a map like that. I am worried if VA will go blue also? I see Obama people at the metro in Arlington on a daily basis! I have been blogging against Obama http://road2serfdom.blogspot.com/. keep up the good work.

]]> By: D.J. McGuire http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230387 D.J. McGuire Thu, 17 Jul 2008 15:31:00 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230387 JAB, McCain doesn't need NH or NM if he wins OH and CO. He will need CO though. JAB,

McCain doesn’t need NH or NM if he wins OH and CO. He will need CO though.

]]> By: James Atticus Bowden http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-230386 James Atticus Bowden Thu, 17 Jul 2008 15:09:08 +0000 http://belowthebeltway.com/2008/07/17/my-election-projection-july-edition/#comment-230386 Say McCain wins the gray and picks up Ohio. Voila, it looks like 2004 - right? Except I think McCain loses NH and NM. Then,he must win PA or MI - yes? It'd be interesting to see the 00,04 and 08 (projections) together. Say McCain wins the gray and picks up Ohio. Voila, it looks like 2004 – right? Except I think McCain loses NH and NM. Then,he must win PA or MI – yes? It’d be interesting to see the 00,04 and 08 (projections) together.

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