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An Obama Bounce ?

by @ 3:14 pm on July 27, 2008. Filed under 2008 Election, Barack Obama, John McCain, Politics

I’ve been trying not to pay too much attention to the national polls for the past several weeks primarily because I don’t see them as that significant of a barometer of how the race will actually go once it starts in September, but the latest Gallup Poll is interesting only because it indicates what may be the start of real movement by one of the candidates:

080727DailyUpdateGraph1_yyyyttttPRINCETON, NJ — Barack Obama now leads John McCain among national registered voters by a 49% to 40% margin in Gallup Poll Daily tracking conducted July 24-26.

This represents a continuation of Obama’s front-runner position evident in the last three Gallup Poll Daily tracking updates. The margin, coincident with the extensive U.S. news coverage of Obama’s foreign tour, is the largest for Obama over McCain measured since Gallup began tracking the general election horserace in March. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)

A key question remains as to whether this “bounce” is short-term (as happens to bounces in some instances following intense publicity surrounding a convention) or if his lead will persist — the answer to which will become evident in the next several days. — Frank Newport

The latest Rasmussen tracking poll shows a slightly tighter race:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Barack Obama attracts 46% of the vote while John McCain earns 41%. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 49% and McCain 44%. McCain’s numbers are up a point from yesterday while Obama’s remain unchanged. Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of voters, McCain by 55%.

(…)

Obama has enjoyed a modest bounce in the polls since his Berlin speech on Thursday. To this point, however, he has not reached the 50% level of support or expanded his lead beyond where it was a couple of weeks ago. Over the coming week, it will be interesting to see if Obama could open an even bigger lead and move above the 50% level of support.

If that happens, the dynamics of the race will change significantly. Of course, as three of the last four Presidential elections have shown us, you don’t need to get above 50% of the popular vote to be elected President.

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One Response to “An Obama Bounce ?”

  1. I worry about Obama becoming president. With the Clinton years he depleted our military by almost fifty percent, and all of our emergency gas reserves. That is why we had to call up our national guard and have had to refill our gas reserves. We are going to need them for our oil supply will be cut off according to visions of these last times.

    Obama appears to be a pacifist. I read an article in a major news magazine about his college teaching days at a law school. His students say he taught but never took any side to an issue. They did not know where he stood on anything. He appears to have a burning passion inside against America for the days of slavery and has embraced many people that incite race-ism that still blames all whites.

    We are going to need a strong military leader for this country is in for a lot of upheaval and we need a truly spiritual loving, leader as we are seeped in the darkness of the world/ Weare on a collusion course from the immorality we have embraced in our political and social behavors.

    I have done an extensive search on visions and dreams. I know for a fact Katrina, Rita, the odd timing for tornadoes in the Midwest, floods, the melting of the ice at the North Pole, the intensity and frequency of the earthquakes, is the fulfillment of prophecy for these last times. As a nation we have turned our backs on God and have brought judgment upon ourselves. In my book (www.journey-book.com) I have explained how we can change direction, but people do not seem to care, to find the spiritual knowledge that can change our world without calamities. I have documented just one of hundreds of visions that are a warning that we must change. Not the kind of change Obama is talking about.

    Raymond was given over 200 prophecies between 1990’s and up to now.

    220. Prophecy given to Raymond Aguilera on 2 October 1992 at 9:40 PM. in English. The ice of the north will begin to move which will cause the water of the oceans to shift. The land that’s near the water will be under water. For the waves that will hit the continent are going to be larger than the mountains you have on the Planet. Look at the water!

    Look at the wonders and signs that are going to befall this Planet. Look at the ice of the north. For it will begin to move as the axis of the Earth shifts. When the temperature of the Planet rises, the ice of the north will melt and will begin to move. The Planet will be Shaken, will be turned upside down and inside out.

    There is going to be the War of the United States. The War of the World. The War of the United States with the World has arrived. For the War of the United States with the World has arrived with the Blood. It has arrived, the bullets, the bombs, the airplanes, the boats, the soldiers, with the force of the United States, with the force of the devil, with the force of everything that is filthy.

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