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Virginia Senate: Warner 59% Gilmore 33%

If the latest Rasmussen poll is any indication, it’s about time for the Republicans to write off the Virginia Senate seat this year:

Former Democratic Governor Mark Warner’s lead continues to grow over former Republican Governor Jim Gilmore in Virginia’s race for the United States Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Warner on top 59% to 33%. Last month, Warner enjoyed a 57% to 34% lead.

When “leaners” are included, the Democrat now leads 61% to 35%.

Warner is viewed favorably by 68%, up slightly from 66% in July.

Gilmore’s ratings have also improved slightly over the past month. The Republican is now viewed favorably by 49%, up from 47% last month.

Most interestingly, Warner has virtually total support from his fellow Democrats, while Gilmore only garners 3/4 of the Republican vote:

This month, Warner earns support from 94% of Democrats and 19% of Republicans in Virginia. Gilmore is backed by 71% of Republicans and just 4% of Democrats. Warner dominates his opponent among unaffiliated voters, 62% to 25%. While Warner leads 76% to 18% among moderate voters and 89% to 8% among liberal voters, Gilmore leads just 59% to 32% among conservatives.

If the NRSC invests any money at all in this race, I will be incredibly surprised.

Previous Posts:

Does Jim Gilmore Have A Snowball’s Chance In Hell ?
Virginia Senate: Warner 60% Gilmore 33%
Bad News For Virginia Republicans Times Three
Rasmussen: Warner Leads Gilmore By 20 Points
Rasmussen Shows Warner 15 Points Up On Gilmore
Washington Post Poll Shows Warner Far Ahead In `08 Senate Race

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8 Responses to “Virginia Senate: Warner 59% Gilmore 33%”

  1. So the Zogby poll at 15% is a total misnomer, or did they just slip up, and do a honest poll?

    Gilmore has spent nothing on TV or radio… Warner enjoys all the propaganda the MSM can dish out…. any wonder?

    A more appopriate view on the subject would be, what if both candidates had he same resources to get on the airwaves..

    What would he polls say then?

  2. STD,

    15 % isn’t any better than what Rasmussen is showing, and from what I’ve seen Rasmussen’s polling has been more accurate this election cycle than Zogby.

    Also, I don’t think that the media buys are as decisive right now as you think. Warner was polling at a 15% advantage over Gilmore before either one of them had bought any television or radio time.

  3. [...] would seem unlikely mainly because Warner appears incredibly well-positioned to move the Senate seat currently held by John Warner into… Since Virginia law does not, as far as I am aware, allow the same person to run for two different [...]

  4. [...] thing is clear; Mark Warner has a massive lead over Jim Gilmore in the Senate race, while Barack Obama and John McCain are statistically tied. Clearly, a lot of people who are [...]

  5. [...] this ad help turn the campaign around ? Frankly, I’ve got to doubt it. Gilmore is so far behind Warner at this point that it would take a political miracle for the Virginia Senate race to turn into something [...]

  6. [...] not only win all 23 of the races for seats currently held or controlled by Republicans, including states like Virginia where the Democratic candidate leads the polls by a seemingly insurmountable ma… but they would also need to pick up at least two seats from the Democrats — preferably three [...]

  7. [...] not only win all 23 of the races for seats currently held or controlled by Republicans, including states like Virginia where the Democratic candidate leads the polls by a seemingly insurmountable ma… but they would also need to pick up at least two seats from the Democrats — preferably three [...]

  8. [...] Boy, was I wrong. As early as October, polls showed Mark Warner far ahead of Gilmore and that continued into January, February, April, May, June, and August. [...]

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