While the tracking polls remained pretty much unchanged this week, a new CBS News Poll seems to show significant movement in, and another tightening of, the Presidential race:
(CBS) The presidential race between Barack Obama and John McCain is now even at 42 percent, according to a new CBS News poll conducted Monday-Wednesday of this week. Twelve percent are undecided according to the poll, and one percent said they wouldn’t vote.
This is in contrast to a poll conducted last weekend, where the Obama-Biden ticket led McCain-Palin by eight points, 48 percent to 40 percent.
McCain has also closed the enthusiasm gap some with Obama, but it still exists. Fifty-five percent of Obama’s supporters are enthusiastic about their choice, and now so are 35% of McCain’s. Last weekend, just 25 percent of McCain’s supporters were enthusiastic about him, compared to 67 of Obama’s supporters.
So, is this evidence of a significant convention bounce, a return to the way this race has been since the summer began, or a polling anomaly ? Until other polls come out in the wake of the Republican convention, it’s hard to tell, but this may be yet further evidence for the hypothetical outcome to this election that I talked about last month.
September 5th, 2008 at 9:56 am
“So, is this evidence of a significant convention bounce, a return to the way this race has been since the summer began, or a polling anomaly?”
Yes.
Sorry, I couldn’t resist.