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No Evidence Of A McCain Bounce Yet

by @ 3:46 pm on September 4, 2008.

Apparently a Gustav-shortened first day, and Joe Lieberman on day two, haven’t done much to give John McCain a boost in the polls just yet.

In Rasmussen’s tracking polls, Barack Obama and Joe Biden remain ahead of the McCain/Palin ticket:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 43%. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 50%, McCain 45%.

A slight up-tic for McCain/Palin, but not by much and not enough yet to overcome last week.

The results from the Gallup tracking poll are essentially the same:

PRINCETON, NJ — Barack Obama continues to hold a lead over John McCain, 49% to 42%, in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update.

Gallup 94The results are based on interviewing conducted Sept. 1-3. The vast majority of interviews on Wednesday evening were conducted before Sarah Palin gave her much-anticipated convention speech. However, the data do indicate that the initial first two nights of the convention — the slimmed down Monday program in deference to Hurricane Gustav and Tuesday’s speeches headlined by former senator Fred Thompson — have, so far, done little to change voter preferences.

Thursday’s interviewing will be the first to reflect the immediate impact of Palin’s speech, and the coming days will give a truer measure of the effect the GOP convention — including McCain’s acceptance speech tonight — is having on voters. Obama got a four percentage point increase in his share of the vote in Gallup Poll Daily tracking coming out of the Democratic convention last week, establishing a lead over McCain after the two had been exactly tied immediately prior to last week’s convention.

By Sunday, which is the next time I’ll have a chance to see these poll numbers, we should know whether there was a convention bounce of any kind for McCain/Palin, and where this race will be headed over the next several weeks.

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2 Responses to “No Evidence Of A McCain Bounce Yet”

  1. Below The Beltway » Blog Archive » CBS News Poll: Obama/Biden 42 McCain/Palin 42 Says:

    [...] the tracking polls remained pretty much unchanged this week, a new CBS News Poll seems to show significant movement in, and another tightening of, [...]

  2. Below The Beltway » Blog Archive » McCain/Palin Surging Ahead Of Obama/Biden Says:

    [...] speech and before Sarah Palin’s speech on Wednesday could be registered in the polls, it didn’t look at all like there would be much of a convention bounce for the McCain/Palin tic… In the Rasmussen tracking polls, the Democratic ticket was leading by 4-5 points depending upon [...]

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