Right now, he’s losing North Carolina:
Barack Obama has a two-point advantage over John McCain in the traditionally Republican state of North Carolina.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Tar Heel State shows Obama attracting 49% of the vote while McCain earns 47%. A week ago, McCain held a three-point edge. This is the first time in eight Rasmussen Reports polls that Obama has held any kind of a lead in North Carolina, though the candidates were tied once as well.
North Carolina has voted Republican in every Presidential election since 1980 and before that had only gone Democratic twice since LBJ’s 1964 landslide. The fact that McCain is doing poorly there is not a good sign.

[...] not just John McCain, it looks like Elizabeth Dole’s Senate seat is vulnerable as well: The latest Rasmussen [...]