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The One Poll Result That Explains Very Clearly Why John McCain Will Lose

by @ 4:55 pm on October 14, 2008.

When you are dealing with a public that feels like this, there’s no way that someone clearly identified with the incumbent President is going to win:

A new CBS News/New York Times poll finds that 89 percent of Americans believe that country is on the wrong track, a new all-time high surpassing the 83 percent who said the same earlier this year. Just seven percent of Americans in the poll said they felt the country was headed in the right direction, down from 14 percent in September. Solid majorities of Republicans, Democrats and Independents agreed that the nation is on the wrong track.

The right direction/wrong track number is a key indicator of the mood of the country and just three weeks from Election Day is further evidence of the economic crisis that has rattled the presidential race. The poll was conducted Friday through Monday, mostly following last week’s historic drop in the stock market. Previous polls have shown voters are more confident in Barack Obama’s ability to improve the economy and both candidates have recently unveiled new proposals aimed at easing concerns.

This is the main reason that a candidate whose primary message involves change, specifically changing a course that pretty much the entire country believes is the wrong direction, is doing so well in the polls.

Absent a dramatic and unprecedented change in the public mood over the next 21 days, this is the electorate that will be going to the polls on November 4th.

Anyone want to take bets on who they’ll be voting for ?

H/T: The Moderate Voice

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