Only one change from last week — I’m now projecting that Obama will win Missouri:
Teetering on the edge are traditionally red states like North Carolina, Indiana, and West Virginia. If McCain fails to turn things around at tonight’s debate, or disappoints, we are likely to see disaffected Republicans leading to Obama pick-ups in at least one or two of those states.
[...] was tempted to do this last week but hesitated. At this point, though, it’s clear that North Carolina has fallen in to the [...]