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India, Pakistan, And The War On Terror

by @ 9:45 am on December 6, 2008. Filed under Foreign Affairs, India, Pakistan, War On Terror

From the moment that I heard about the terror attacks in Mumbai that started on the day before Thanksgiving, I knew that Pakistan, and specifically the Pakistani groups that still have their sights set on Indian-controlled Kashmir, were involved somehow.

The possible consequences of Pakistani based terror groups attacking India are, of course, manifest.

Now, it appears that it might be worse than that because some Indian officials are putting the blame at the front door of Pakistani intelligence services:

MUMBAI, Dec. 5 — A week after the terrorist attacks in Mumbai, Indian officials on Friday stepped up their efforts to draw a connection between the violence and Pakistani government agencies.

In New Delhi, a high-level source in the Indian government, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said India has “clear and incontrovertible proof” that an Islamist militant group based in Pakistan, Lashkar-i-Taiba, planned the attacks and that the group’s leaders were trained and supported by Pakistan’s powerful Inter-Services Intelligence agency, or ISI.

“We have the names of the handlers. And we know that there is a close relationship between the Lashkar and the ISI,” the source said.

U.S. intelligence officials, however, were more cautious in their interpretation of the evidence. Although U.S. analysts acknowledged historical ties between Lashkar and ISI, as well as more recent contacts between militants and Pakistani intelligence officers, they said they were not convinced that Pakistan supported the attacks in any significant way.

“Even if there were contacts between ISI and Lashkar-i-Taiba, it’s not the same as saying there was ISI support,” said a U.S. counterterrorism official, speaking on the condition of anonymity. The official would not dismiss the possibility that further evidence would reveal active ISI involvement but said: “The evidence we’ve seen so far does not get you there.”

Notwithstanding those pleas for caution, though, the Indians appear to be moving forward with some kind of plan:

NEW DELHI – Following the Mumbai attacks last week, it is emerging that India intends to take the “war on terror” to the next level – specifically, by taking out militant training camps that India believes dot Pakistan-administered Kashmir.

A senior official in India’s Home Ministry told Asia Times Online that a decision had been made at the highest levels that India will be directly involved in “annihilating” some of the terror infrastructure and personnel based in Pakistan.

NEW DELHI – Following the Mumbai attacks last week, it is emerging that India intends to take the “war on terror” to the next level – specifically, by taking out militant training camps that India believes dot Pakistan-administered Kashmir.

A senior official in India’s Home Ministry told Asia Times Online that a decision had been made at the highest levels that India will be directly involved in “annihilating” some of the terror infrastructure and personnel based in Pakistan.

Although fraught with risk, “hot pursuit” has been debated in India for some time. The Mumbai strikes, which claimed the lives of

(…)

According to the official, who declined to be named, these operations will essentially be covert to prevent an all-out war between the two nuclear-armed neighbors. Officially, India may continue to deny such actions, all the while taking the battle to the terrorists.

Elite armed naval, air and army forces, backed by intelligence agencies, will be involved. The operation could eventually cover border areas along Punjab such as Multan, where some of the Mumbai attackers are believed to have been recruited.

(…)

Bangladesh, another fertile ground of al-Qaeda activities, will also be within the ambit of such actions, according to the official.

Covert or not, this is bound to increase tensions between the countries, which are already on a razor-thin edge:

ISLAMABAD, Pakistan (AP) — A man pretending to be India’s foreign minister called Pakistan’s president and talked in a “threatening” manner during the Mumbai terror attacks, prompting Pakistan to put its air force on high alert, a security official and a news report said Saturday.

These two nations have gone to war four times since 1947, but only once since both nations became nuclear powers. It’s not to hard to forsee another conflict growing out of Pakistan’s involvement with, or toleration of, of terrorists who continue to threaten India.

H/T: Vodkapundit and New Alanticist

2 Responses to “India, Pakistan, And The War On Terror”

  1. sdsdsdsd says:

    Wow, you figured that out all by yourself?

  2. I think India government (especially, Sonia govt.) does not have the political or international acumen to deal with this scenario. India is a soft nation and so can be easily pushed around. Look at the terror attacks one after the another. The latest example is Mumabi.

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