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Rasmussen on Virginia: McDonnell Leads Deeds By Nine Points

by @ 8:10 am on August 12, 2009. Filed under 2009 Governor's Race, Bob McDonnell, Creigh Deeds, Virginia, Virginia Politics

The latest Rasmussen poll of the Virginia Governor’s race shows Bob McDonnell opening a significant lead over Criegh Deeds:

Republican candidate Robert F. McDonnell has opened a nine-point lead over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds in the race for governor in Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Virginia voters finds McDonnell leading Deeds 47% to 38%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and 12% are undecided.

This represents a definite change from the previous two post-primary polls, which first showed Deeds with a slight lead over McDonnell, then showed McDonnell with a slight lead over Deeds. It’s also consistent with the results we’ve seen from other polls by SurveyUSA, Public Policy Polling, and Research 2000, all of which show McDonnell leading by a significant margin.

The two things about the Rasmussen poll that could spell trouble for McDonnell are the fact that he has yet to break the 50% barrier and that the undecided vote is so large, the last of which isn’t unexpected at this point in the race.

On the plus side for McDonnell, he appears to be winning on the issues that the voters are paying attention to:

By a 48% to 30% margin, Virginia voters trust McDonnell more than Deeds on taxes. The Republican hopeful has a similar advantage on the issue of government spending.

However, on the critical issue of transportation, voters are more evenly divided. Thirty-six percent (36%) trust McDonnell more while 33% trust Deeds and 31% are not sure. But those figures reflect an improvement for McDonnell. A month ago, Deeds had a four-point edge on the issue.

Forty-two percent (42%) like McDonnell’s idea of privatizing Virginia’s state-run liquor stores as a way to help finance transportation projects. Twenty-eight percent (28%) oppose that plan.

Which perhaps explains why Deeds is seeking to change the subject.

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