Bob McDonnell has again expanded his lead in the race to be Virginia’s next Governor and is now up 55-40 on Creigh Deeds. A week ago the contest stood at 52-40.
There is some indication in the recent polls that Democratic voters are giving up on this race. At the beginning of September 38% of likely voters were Democrats. By the end of the month it was 37%, a week ago it was down to 33% and now it’s at just 31%. That trend has major implications for the party’s candidates further down the ballot.
McDonnell continues to hold a dominating lead with independents, as he has throughout the general election campaign. This week it’s 59-34. His party is more united behind him as well, with 94% of Republicans planning to vote for him compared to 84% of Democrats who say they’ll vote for Deeds.
59% of voters think Deeds has run a mostly negative campaign, and that’s reflected in his favorability numbers. Now just 38% of voters have a positive opinion of him while 49% see him unfavorably. His negative ratings have increased in every poll PPP has done of the race, from 29% at the start of July to 32% at the beginning of August to 35% as September began to 42% as it ended to 48% a week ago and now to 49%.
And in the down-ballot statewide races its looking just as good for the RPV:
Down ballot it continues to look like a Republican sweep. Bill Bolling leads Jody Wagner 50-38 for Lieutenant Governor and Ken Cuccinelli has a 52-36 advantage over Attorney General.
Full results here
It’s time to stop focusing on these races and starting wondering what this means for the House of Delegates races.