The final Public Policy Polling poll of Virginia shows that Virginia Republicans stand to have a lot to celebrate on Tuesday night:
Bob McDonnell leads Creigh Deeds 56-42 in PPP’s final poll of the race.
In a finding that may sum up what happened here 63% of voters in the state think McDonnell made a strong case for why he should be Governor while only 34% said the same of Deeds. Even 36% of Deeds’ supporters said he hadn’t made a good argument for why he should be elected.
Beyond that the same themes that have shown throughout the general election show up in the last survey. 61% of McDonnell’s voters are ‘very excited’ to vote on Tuesday while just 14% are ‘not very excited.’ For Deeds’ supporters on the other hand 36% are ‘not very excited about casting their ballots and just 31% are ‘very excited.’ That enthusiasm gap has existed for months now and made a Deeds comeback all but impossible.
Most significant, though, will be the impact of McDonnell’s victory on the rest of the races on the ballot:
McDonnell will be bringing some folks with him. Bill Bolling leads 54-41 for Lieutenant Governor and Ken Cuccinelli has a 55-39 advantage for Attorney General. Republicans also have a 48-39 lead on the generic House of Delegates ballot.
- Republican statewide candidates lead in all areas of the state now, including Northern Virginia where McDonnell leads Deeds 50-49%, Bolling leads Wagner 49-47%, and Cuccinelli leads Shannon 50-48%
- Only 83% of the respondents who say they voted for Obama last year are voting for Deeds this year. McDonnell garners 90% of the McCain voters.
- Despite the thesis controversy, McDonnell leads Deeds 51-47% among women
- The African American vote, while still largely Democratic is not completely united. McDonnell get 18% support, Bolling gets 23% support, and Cuccinelli gets 22% support.
This is looking like a GOP blow-out across the board.