The Politico takes a look at the prospects for Republican pickups in Congress in the 2010 Elections:
As the 2010 campaign cycle begins in earnest, the central question in the House of Representatives is how many seats will Republicans win?
Few political observers or elected officials doubt that an energized GOP has a headwind at its back. Despite two Democratic special election victories last week, election night 2009 suggested that the Republican base is excited and independents are disenchanted with Democrats.
Conventional wisdom on both sides holds that the 2010 midterm elections will produce gains for the GOP, which will enter the new year needing a 41-seat gain to win back the majority.
The most optimistic Republicans believe there is a real chance that the party can win back the House, a prospect that no one would have imagined just a few months ago. A more realistic estimate is somewhere in the double digits, though well below the magic number needed to capture the majority.
To get an idea of how the landscape is shaping up, consider the nonpartisan Cook Political Report’s most recent outlook: There are 77 Democratic-held House seats listed as potentially competitive, with only 26 Republican-held seats in the same category.
Another promising sign for the GOP: Members who rarely face competitive races, like Reps. John Tanner (D-Tenn.), Ike Skelton (D-Mo.) and Vic Snyder (D-Ark.), are now facing the possibility of bruising reelection battles.
Give the whole article a read, because it does a fairly good job of breaking down the factors that will play into politics over the next year.
Also, here’s a video of Poltico reporters talking about the 2010 elections: