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Looking At GOP Prospects In 2010

The Politico takes a look at the prospects for Republican pickups in Congress in the 2010 Elections:

As the 2010 campaign cycle begins in earnest, the central question in the House of Representatives is how many seats will Republicans win?

Few political observers or elected officials doubt that an energized GOP has a headwind at its back. Despite two Democratic special election victories last week, election night 2009 suggested that the Republican base is excited and independents are disenchanted with Democrats.

Conventional wisdom on both sides holds that the 2010 midterm elections will produce gains for the GOP, which will enter the new year needing a 41-seat gain to win back the majority.

The most optimistic Republicans believe there is a real chance that the party can win back the House, a prospect that no one would have imagined just a few months ago. A more realistic estimate is somewhere in the double digits, though well below the magic number needed to capture the majority.

To get an idea of how the landscape is shaping up, consider the nonpartisan Cook Political Report’s most recent outlook: There are 77 Democratic-held House seats listed as potentially competitive, with only 26 Republican-held seats in the same category.

Another promising sign for the GOP: Members who rarely face competitive races, like Reps. John Tanner (D-Tenn.), Ike Skelton (D-Mo.) and Vic Snyder (D-Ark.), are now facing the possibility of bruising reelection battles.

Give the whole article a read, because it does a fairly good job of breaking down the factors that will play into politics over the next year.

Also, here’s a video of Poltico reporters talking about the 2010 elections:

2 Responses to “Looking At GOP Prospects In 2010”

  1. The Dems can’t pass ObamaCare with abortion OR a public option- and reconciliation is just an empty threat, the remaining legislation would be a hollow shell-

    Will they pass Cap-n-tax? With the evidence looking weak lately, Obama’s own #s tanking… and 11% unemployment? Good luck!

    That leaves the only major legislation enacted -even with Democrats dominating both houses- the wholly-ineffective Porkulus. Obama has NO political cover on that one, due to the paucity of GOP collaborators- he owns it. And all it will ever stimulate is inflation… in the months leading right-up to midterms.

    The Democrats look to face a bloodbath next fall, with some already predicting a 100+ seat loss.

    And by 2012? People will wince at the very mention of the name “Obama”- and the GOP could take 40 states running Gilbert Gottfried- LOL

    Party’s over kiddies- time to put the grown-ups back in charge.

  2. Chris Delia says:

    Independent candidate John Pistone will win in the 5th congressional district of Connecticut in 2010
    “progress ahead of party politics” PISTONE FOR CONGRESS IN 2010

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