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James Carville And Stan Greenberg: There Was No ObamaCare Bounce

Democracy Corps, the polling firm run by long-time Democratic campaign advisers James Carville and Stan Greenberg, comes to a rather morose conclusion about the political impact of the passage of health care reform:

Health care’s passage did not produce even a point rise in the president’s approval rating or affection for the Democratic Congress. Virtually every key tracking measure in April’s poll has remained unchanged, including the Democrats’ continued weakness on handling of the economy. Both parties are equally reviled, reflected in their lowest ratings in history, while voters want to punish those in power – for the partisan bickering, bailing out the undeserving, government spending, the deficit, and the endless gridlock over health care while people struggled to survive the jobs crisis. With independents even more conservative and Republican-leaning in this survey, the congressional battle in 2010 looks like a dead-heat at best – a 12-point swing in this poll from 2008.

Indeed.

Just look at Obama’s Job Approval:

Poll One


Or Congresses:

Poll Two

Or the Right Track/Wrong Track numbers:

Poll Three

Or the Generic Congressional ballot:

Poll Four

Each of them shows, absolutely no bounce for Obama and the Democrats.

In fact, if there has been any movement at all, it’s been against Obama and the Democrats. That’s after just a month, it’s hard to see this reversing itself significantly.

One Response to “James Carville And Stan Greenberg: There Was No ObamaCare Bounce”

  1. Matt says:

    Why would there be? IIRC, polls showed most citizens did not want that legislation passed before they passed it.

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