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Sestak Gets Post-Primary Bounce, Statistically Tied With Toomey In Pennsylvania

by @ 2:50 pm on May 20, 2010. Filed under 2010 Elections, Congress, Democrats, Elections, Political Parties, Politics

The first post-primary poll in Pennsylvania shows that the race between Joe Sestak and Pat Toomey is a statistical dead heat:

Democratic Congressman Joe Sestak’s victory over longtime Senator Arlen Specter for his party’s nomination Tuesday has given him a bounce in support in Pennsylvania’s general election for U.S. Senate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Sestak picking up 46% support over Republican nominee Pat Toomey’s 42%. Only three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate while nine percent (9%) are undecided.

Sestak’s support is up six points from earlier this month and is at its highest level yet measured in the race. Two weeks ago, Sestak and Toomey were in a virtual tie.

In surveys conducted in April, March and February, Sestak’s support fell within a narrow range of 36% to 38%. During the same period, Toomey’s support ranged from 42% to 47%.

Earlier this month, Sestak pulled ahead of Specter for the first time all year, 47% to 42%. On Tuesday, Sestak beat Specter 54% to 46% in the Democratic primary.

All of this reinforces the idea that Sestak has been, all along, the better choice for Democrats this year. I seriously doubt that Arlen Specter would have received a similar bump in the polls had he eked out a win on Tuesday night.

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