Below The Beltway

One of these days, I’m gonna get this right, and I think hope today may be the day.
Here’s how I think things will pan out in Florida tomorrow.
Republicans

John McCain
Mitt Romney
Rudy Giuliani
Mike Huckabee
Ron Paul

Over the weekend, John McCain received endorsements from Senator Mel Martinez and Governor Charlie Crist, both of which are likely to be just [...]

In a move that is likely to help his campaign, John McCain has received the endorsement of Florida’s popular Republican Governor:
Even as the political class was digesting the news of Sen. Barack Obama’s (Ill.) overwhelming victory in South Carolina’s Democratic primary, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) scored the endorsement of Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) — [...]

Given the fact that it took place only five days before the last big primary prior to Super Tuesday, and that recent polls show the race to be very tight, I was expecting last night’s Florida debate to be much more confrontational than it was. After all, if McCain wins in Florida, there’s a fairly [...]

This much is clear — if Rudy Giuliani doesn’t either win or come in a strong second in Florida on the 29th, his campaign is pretty much dead.
And, if the latest Miami Herald poll is any indication, it’s time to start planning the funeral:
Rudy Giuliani has hit the skids in a Florida freefall that could [...]

On Friday, I noted that the latest poll out of New Jersey showed Rudy Giuliani falling into fifth place in the New Jersey Republican Primary.
Now, it looks like things are just as bad in New York:
Loudonville, NY Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani trails Senator John McCain by 12 points
among Republicans in the upcoming [...]

With the results in and John McCain, Hillary Clinton, and Mitt Romney each rightfully claiming a victory last night in their parties’ Nevada and South Carolina events, it’s time to take a look at where things stand today.
So, here’s what I think:
Republicans
The Republican race is now essentially a three man race between McCain, Huckabee, and [...]

Once again, I tread into the dangerous and, so far unsuccessful, world of prediction.
In this case, today’s South Carolina Republican Primary and Nevada Caucuses.
First Nevada:
Democrats

Barack Obama
Hillary Clinton
John Edwards

The current polls show Clinton with a slight edge, but caucuses are harder to poll than primaries and I think Obama will win based on a combination of [...]

The latest Rasmussen Poll shows John McCain leading in California, and Rudy Giuliani barely in double digits:
John McCain has a seven point lead over Mitt Romney in California’s Republican Presidential Primary. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone poll of the race shows McCain earning 24% of the vote while Romney attracts 17%. More than ten points [...]

Among all of the states having primaries on Super Tuesday, it was thought that the New York tri-state area would be safe for Rudy Giuliani. After all, he had a successful two terms as Mayor and the people of New York, Connecticut, and especially New Jersey, had a front row seat for the event that [...]

Dick Morris takes a stab at trying to understand why the GOP race is in such chaos right now:
The Republican Party is simply not used to selecting a nominee without having it imposed from above. In near-monarchic fashion, the party has always had an anointed front-runner in every election since 1944 - Tom Dewey [...]